Power And Prediction: The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence by Ajay Agrawal


Power And Prediction: The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence
Title : Power And Prediction: The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence
Author :
Rating :
ISBN : 1647824192
ISBN-10 : 9781647824198
Language : English
Format Type : Hardcover
Number of Pages : 256
Publication : Published November 15, 2022

Disruption resulting from the proliferation of AI is coming. The authors of the bestselling Prediction Machines describe what you can do to prepare.

Banking and finance, pharmaceuticals, automotive, medical technology, retail. Artificial intelligence (AI) has made its way into many industries around the world. But the truth is, it has just begun its odyssey toward cheaper, better, and faster predictions to drive strategic business decisions--powering and accelerating business. When prediction is taken to the max, industries transform. The disruption that comes with such transformation is yet to be felt--but it is coming.

How do businesses prepare? In their bestselling first book, Prediction Machines, eminent economists Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb explained the simple yet game-changing economics of AI. Now, in Power and Prediction, they go further to reveal AI as a prediction technology directly impacting decision-making and to teach businesses how to identify disruptive opportunities and threats resulting from AI. Their exhaustive study of new developments in artificial intelligence and the past history of how technologies have disrupted industries highlights the striking phase we are now in: after witnessing the power of this new technology and before its widespread adoption--what they call "the Between Times." While there continue to be important opportunities for businesses, there are also threats of disruption. As prediction machines improve, old ways of doing things will be upended. Also, the process by which AI filters into the many systems involved in application is very uneven. That process will have winners and losers. How can businesses leverage, or protect, their positions?

Filled with illuminating insights, rich examples, and practical advice, Power and Prediction is the must-read guide for any business leader or policy maker on how to make the coming AI disruptions work for you rather than against you.


Power And Prediction: The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence Reviews


  • Narang Unnati

    Loved reading this book!

    Very CLEAR, well-crafted narrative and powerful ideas. I had earlier read the “Prediction Machines” by the same authors. In the original book, the main idea is that AI reduces cost of prediction. As prediction gets cheaper, we will use more AI. This book goes beyond a “point solution” that swaps out current tech with new tech (e.g., steam with electricity) or “application solution” that extends independent of the system (e.g., power in small unit) to “system solution” involving dependent parts (e.g., Ford's innovation).

    My favorite part about this book is the cohesive set of ideas about how we are in the transitionary "between times" and what we need is a system-wide change to get to the next level. Dispels some myths and finds new potential avenues for the future of AI beyond cheaper predictions. Good examples from healthcare and other fields too. Very relatable and easy to grasp for a non-academic, general audience. Finally, lots of powerful storytelling in the book, e.g., David Friedberg started The Climate Corporation to sell insurance to farmers but turned out that AI could help farmers improve decisions on their farms. No one asked Friedberg: If my knowledge is no longer useful, who will need me?

  • Karen Macartney oettl

    This is a follow up to the team of author’s first book on the power of prediction and AI (“Prediction Machines” This one cuts to the heart of making faster, cheaper and better decisions and is a key book to read if you are fascinated by AI or if you think your business could benefit from better decisions for system-level innovation

  • Rodrigo

    After publishing Prediction Machines, the authors realized the necessity of considering not only the economics of artificial intelligence but also the systems in which the technology operates. At the time, most markets are not ready to benefit entirely from AI solutions.

    Point solutions lower costs but don’t demand structural business change. Application solutions are broader but still don’t demand structural change. System solutions require a new vision for the whole market to deliver more value for the company and customers.

    To help assess how close a market is to system solutions, they propose an AI Systems Discovery Canvas in chapter 18.

  • Ryan Weller

    Interesting point about systematic change to truest leverage AI disruption, but shallow. Very repetitive. Could have been condensed to 100 pages or boosted beyond academic arm waving

  • Grady

    ‘How AI will eventually sweep across industries…’ - Understanding the impact of AI

    Canadian authors Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb offer their expertise on subjects of strategic management, entrepreneurship, innovation, artificial intelligence and healthcare as educators at the Rotman School of Management in Toronto, as well as important contributions in other areas of note. In this excellent book they bland their input to create one of the most accessible, informative, and reliably accurate accounts of the impact of artificial intelligence on individuals, companies, and organizations. As they state in the Preface addressing their prior tome on AI, ‘ We realized that we must consider not only the economics of the technology itself but also the systems in which the technology operates. We must understand the economic forces that led to the rapid adoption of AIs for automated fraud detection in banking and product recommendation in e-commerce on the one hand, but the slow adoption of AIs for automated underwriting in insurance and drug discovery in pharmaceuticals on the other…. We shifted our focus from exploring neural networks to exploring human cognition (how we make decisions), social behavior (why people in some industries are keen to embrace AI quickly while others are resistant), production systems (how some decisions depend on others), and industry structures (how we’ve hidden certain decisions to shield ourselves from uncertainty).’

    While everyone has heard of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the news, social media, television and movies - the ‘topic du jour’ in our lives today - few resources match the accessible, credible, well presented examination of this technology as this excellent book relates. The authors’ skills as educators make this fascinating tome a primary guidebook for insight into the effect AI has on economics at present and the possible permutations and potentials of AI in the future. In other words, read this book and understand AI - scholarly and accessible - finally! Highly recommended
    I voluntarily reviewed a complimentary copy of this book

  • Tanu

    "It is easier not to have to make a decision than to make one. "

    "The distinction between a bad decision and a bad outcome is important. Sometimes good decisions lead to bad outcomes."


    It is a highly informative and practical guide on how businesses can prepare for the coming disruption resulting from the proliferation of AI. The authors build upon their previous work in Prediction Machines to explain how AI is a prediction technology that directly impacts decision-making and how businesses can leverage this technology to identify disruptive opportunities and threats.

    The book explores the "Between Times," a phase in which we are witnessing the power of AI before its widespread adoption. The authors explain that while there are still significant opportunities for businesses, there are also threats of disruption, as old ways of doing things will be upended. The uneven process by which AI filters into the many systems involved in its application will have winners and losers, and businesses must leverage or protect their positions accordingly.

    The authors use rich examples and practical advice to help business leaders and policymakers understand how to make the coming AI disruptions work for them. They explore the impact of AI on various industries, such as banking, finance, pharmaceuticals, automotive, medical technology, and retail, and explain how businesses can use AI to make cheaper, better, and faster predictions that drive strategic decision-making.

    It is an insightful and convenient guide for businesses seeking to prepare for the coming disruption resulting from the proliferation of AI. The book is well-researched and well-written, and the authors' expertise in the field is evident. Anyone looking to stay ahead of the curve in the AI revolution would do well to read this book.

    Grab your copy
    here.

  • Liliyana Shadowlyn

    AI technology is moving along in leaps and bounds - you only have to look at what’s accessible with a few clicks to know that the future is likely going to lay heavily in the hands of it. The major question for businesses is - when do they adopt AI over human, and how do they deal with the impact while preparing for the shift? Agrawal, Gans, and Goldfarb do an excellent job of breaking down these questions, and some possible solutions. They present not only how AI could be a cheaper option, but it’s potential to be beneficial for predictions in many different areas. Even if you aren’t super-tech oriented and keeping up on the cutting edge of AI technology, you’ll be able to follow along with what’s being said in this book and understand the concepts presented, as they are done so in a very accessible manner. A great book overall, and I look forward to seeing where AI takes us in the future, and how many of the authors’ predictions come to life.

  • Rose

    This was a very interesting book about Artificial Intelligence and the ways that it is used to predict how to market products, design airports, manage healthcare concerns, and more. I liked reading about all the examples that the authors gave, which helped to explain the concepts in an easy to understand manner. I also liked that the authors discussed issues with using AI without human interaction and/or judgement.
    This is a fascinating field with a lot of growth still to come. There are many uses as to how AI can improve our lives, but there is also a healthy amount of caution to be used before deploying it widely, as the authors note.

  • David Fredh

    A bit less exciting compared to the first book in the series "Prediction Machines". I warmly recommen Prediction Machines to learn more about the wonderful opportunity and disruption that AI can provide to the world. This book is rather focused on the challenges companies have with the needed changes of way of working, business processes and operational challenges of maximizing value of Prediction and AI. If thats the angle you want to know more about i still recommend a read.

  • Anastasia

    This is written from the prospective of an economist. As such, it focuses on that point of view when discussing AI and its implementation. The authors mention privacy concerns as sticking points and claims that AI is easier to fix biases than people, ignoring that Amazon and Google have admitted they do not know how their algorithms work.

    Since the book ignores those problems and a few others, I have given it a lower score. As a discussion on just the business side, it is sound.

  • Vinum Regum

    This book was published right around the time that ChatGPT exploded on the scene so the author can be forgiven for all he got wrong about Microsoft and Bing. His approach to the role of A.I. in our lives, however, is very well thought through. I listen to the audio book and bought a physical copy just to refer back to his arguments. Very insightful.

  • Özgür

    Listened the audiobook version...
    Book emphasises ML requiring system changes rather than point product /app replacements to cause real change. Maybe with too many examples...
    Easy book with some interesting examples e.g. anticipatory shopping by Amazon.

  • Amy

    I thought the core ideas were thought-provoking and well-expressed. As others have noted, parts of the book were repetitive and probably could have been condensed without losing nuance.

  • Nag Jayaraman

    Light introductory level content on trending topic. Typical book of professors on speaking circuit, collating bunch of anecdotes and material they read recently.

    For the topic the content is too lighter to be rated high