Title | : | The Coming War With Japan |
Author | : | |
Rating | : | |
ISBN | : | 0312076770 |
ISBN-10 | : | 9780312076771 |
Language | : | English |
Format Type | : | Paperback |
Number of Pages | : | 429 |
Publication | : | First published January 1, 1991 |
The Coming War With Japan Reviews
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A bit dated. Like much of George Friedman's writing, it brilliantly describes the past and gives context for the present, while going off the rails predicting the near future.
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Has nothing to do with Japan, war or otherwise ( there's a whole mini-subset of publishing ' Japan-bashing ' with an even minnier subset ' Japan is about to attack us at any moment ! ' ) However, the first half is a very good assesment of the US postion after the somewhat unexpected end of the cold war ( that couldn't get published by itself I guess, so they tacked on some bullshit about Japan to get it on the shelf )
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Hindsight is 20/20, and nothing makes that statement more evident than reading a predictive geopolitical book from 30 years ago. The U.S. and Japan have not gone to war since the publishing of this book, and likely are no closer today than anytime in the past 70 years. The first half was very interesting, giving an in-depth analysis of the geopolitical history of Japan in the modern area. Obviously the forward-looking claims made by the authors turned out to be false, but it was a fun hypothetical to ruminate over while reading. The most notable errors in analysis was a failure to predict the rise of China and a belief the world economy would regionalize following the break up of the Soviet Union.
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An interesting read, but things didn't quite work out as the author expected.